Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 380.089007 432.494780 491.073127 561.694625 644.909179 740.309764 858.624209
2025-08-17 309.445300 379.265044 464.707422 578.167607 726.695676 917.072392 1183.741393
2025-08-24 265.118083 340.362129 437.873909 575.758712 769.421243 1037.496719 1447.114297
2025-08-31 231.393032 307.963638 411.756278 566.082758 795.646815 1134.483830 1692.294645
2025-09-07 209.414687 287.489760 397.529563 568.551093 836.389633 1255.617216 1995.680748
2025-09-14 187.947001 264.678155 376.370118 556.527746 851.320058 1336.810362 2248.514338
2025-09-21 172.838328 249.187011 363.698324 554.956517 881.243412 1445.676978 2572.282944
2025-09-28 155.074720 227.766959 339.417910 531.192924 869.641163 1479.317702 2760.148382
2025-10-05 149.351775 224.250160 342.600642 552.860456 939.594980 1672.063505 3313.465349
2025-10-12 144.996233 222.352861 347.972727 578.599908 1020.445774 1900.377548 4006.848203
2025-10-19 137.158803 213.994476 341.601130 582.351365 1059.655090 2051.744670 4567.054021
2025-10-26 127.205056 201.244113 326.461116 568.018503 1060.625759 2121.723194 4946.328564
2025-11-02 118.490882 190.131485 313.563695 557.197149 1068.818006 2212.989195 5421.470365
2025-11-09 114.653476 187.156542 314.929087 574.318299 1139.175494 2463.311275 6432.236906
2025-11-16 108.487005 179.535610 307.036971 571.833074 1165.855220 2613.796649 7205.318241
2025-11-23 101.994218 170.823958 296.322833 562.247499 1174.793358 2721.318016 7885.274310
2025-11-30 97.561329 165.528319 291.609872 564.694373 1212.336046 2912.816112 8933.286566
2025-12-07 91.844644 157.441019 280.810615 552.769092 1213.138193 3003.550432 9659.191926
2025-12-14 87.744845 152.110957 275.002638 551.210609 1239.682261 3174.621197 10778.654529
2025-12-21 81.652613 142.595831 260.110023 527.639151 1206.197549 3159.910431 11134.387877
2025-12-28 80.565181 142.653750 264.627881 549.131565 1295.135878 3545.514813 13440.909429
2026-01-04 79.851664 143.377952 270.558277 574.661176 1399.933043 4014.167687 16467.563195
2026-01-11 77.178525 140.017224 267.599884 578.381888 1443.946040 4290.328891 18726.348037